Пазарите на слънчева енергия на страните от централна и източна Европа (ЦИЕ) и югоизточна Европа (ЮИЕ). Преглед на полугодието 2015 г.
/15th August 2015, by RENEWABLE MARKET WATCHTM
Geographically all Central and South-Eastern Europe (CEE & SEE) countries are suitable for the production of photovoltaic energy throughout the whole year. The solar radiation potential on the CEE & SEE countries territory is considerable despite the large differences in the sunlight intensity between the various countries. The average annual sunshine duration is roughly 2,130 hours and the average solar radiation resource is between 1,080 kWh/m2 and 2,200 kWh/m2.
Newly installed photovoltaic (Solar PV) capacity in this region is expected to exceed 5.29 GW in the next 5 years according to CEE & SEE Countries Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Market Outlook 2015 - 2025 The number of fully permitted and ready to build photovoltaic (solar PV) projects is increasing. Several countries from CEE & SEE region already have over 1 GW cumulative installed solar PV capacity. The photovoltaic (solar PV) sectors are better developed in Bulgaria, Romania, Greece, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Ukraine.
All of the CEE & SEE countries have set up renewable energy capacity targets, assisting their aims to obtain share of its power generation from renewable energy sources, including solar energy. In EU member countries these targets are set by European Commission (EC), whilst in non-EU member countries RES targets are set in the energy strategies or renewable energy action plans. In order to achieve these goals, the transmission infrastructure of the countries might require further considerable improvements to allocate additional capacity increments.Consequences of continued financial crisis in the EU zone are pressing policy-makers to cut costs, which could negatively affect the photovoltaic sector, which is dependent on government incentives and stable regulatory framework and laws accroding to CEE & SEE Countries Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Market Outlook 2015 - 2025
The maturing photovoltaic markets in Germany, Spain, France, Italy and subsidy cuts allowed investors to look for new opportunities in Central-Eastern (CEE) and South-Eastern European (SEE) nations after 2009.
Our forecast for photovoltaic (solar PV) sector in CEE and SEE countries remains positive. Best developed markets are Czech Republic, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Romania, Greece and Ukraine. However subsidy cuts reduced development in some of these countries. On the other side rising electricity prices for industry and households leave room for rooftop PV systems market for own consupmtion and surplus generation.
Next wave markets with short and medium term potential for development in 2015/2016 are Romania, Turkey, Slovenia, Croatia, and Serbia. Investors should be cautions regarding green certificates (GCs) cuts in Romania and their cooling effect on the PV market in this country. Interesting opportunity in Romania is voted in the spring of 2015 feed-in tariff for photovoltaic systems below 500 KWp.
The Ukrainian revolution of February 2014 took place after a series of violent events in the capital of Kiev, which finallly have resulted with the forced resignation of the then-President of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, who escaped and found political protection in Russia This was immediately followed by a series of changes in quick succession in Ukraine's sociopolitical system, including the installation of a new interim government, the restoration of an older version of the constitution, and the call to immediate presidential elections, which were held on 25 May 2014 and won by Petro Poroshenko.
After that political turmoil in Ukraine was further resulted in annexation of Crimea by Russia with support of Russian military forces in March and April 2014. This was heavy strike for the Ukrainian photovoltaic industry, becuase approximately 50 % of all installed solar capacity in Ukraine is located in Crimea, and because all local and foreign investors stopped immediately their activities at Ukrainian PV market in such insecure environment. On 2 April 2014 Energorynok has officially stoped to pruchase electricity from photovoltaic power plants located in Crimea becuase they have been treated as part of the Russian teritorry.
We expect market drivers by the end of 2015 to be projects with capacity mainly in the range between 1 MWp to 20 MWp. More information about these promising markets you may read here: CEE & SEE Countries Photovoltaic (Solar PV) Market Outlook 2015 - 2025